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微趋势,新变量——“因应AI猛进的不确定性及三大瓶颈Microtrends国际研讨会”侧记

发布时间:2025/01/13 公司新闻 浏览次数:15

微趋势,新变量

 

——“因应AI猛进的不确定性及三大瓶颈Microtrends国际研讨会”侧记

 

 

 

2025年新年伊始,晴空万里,在英属不列巅哥伦比亚大学(UBC)小小教研室里,举办了一场“因应AI猛进的不确定性及三大瓶颈Microtrends国际研讨会”。

 

研讨会由UBC区块链专家王泽华教授主持,全球共生学会的钱宏教授作题为《Earthropocene: Amorsophia MindsNetworking(地球世:爱之智慧孞联网)》抛砖引玉式报告。这份报告是基于近年来AI迅猛发展的状况和钱宏教授新近出版的《SYMBIOSISM 共生: The Mind Power to Agree on An Innovative Life Style 一种约定创新生活方式的精神力量》的观点形成。来自中国和加拿大的学者出席了这次UBC微趋势闭门会议。

 

 

与会者就如何积极面对、认知和适应AI带来的不确定性,对工商文明以来的生产、生活方式及职场的冲击,乃至对轴心时代以来人类“以Subject自居而以他者和世界万物为Object”的自我中心主义及其智慧之爱的全新挑战,以及AI要真正进入社会生活自身存在的“三大瓶颈”,各抒己见畅所欲言。特别是,与会者对继人类建构起了互联网(解决特权、垄断、操纵的“信息不对称”)和物联网(解决万物感应互联自动化)之后,提出建构孞联网(解决无分身份的生命孞念交互奖抑机制)的原由和动因,以及技术、伦理条件,提出了宝贵建议。

 

钱宏教授则重点阐释了他的三个“势在必行”和两个“现实主张”:

 

经由自然世(Naturaropocene)的共生起源,超越人类世(Anthropocene)的共生底线,迈进地球世(Earthropocene)的共生灵魂,势在必行!

 

那么,摒弃人类以Subject自居,将他者和世间万物视为Object的自我中心主义,树立Intersubjective Symbiosism的观念,势在必行!

 

那么,‪在AI猛进的不确定性和“三大瓶颈”显现的今天,‪建立地球世愛之智慧孞联网,平衡“古道尔-马斯克-赫拉利的AI之忧”,人类可以“降本赋能,间道共生”,实现地球生态文明,乃至星际文明,势在必行!

 

就是说,人类应该也可以先办好地球上的事情,而不必移民火星,但可以探索傲游火星,乃至建构星际文明的可能方式!

 

于是,三个势在必行,形成了我们的两个现实主张,第一,是以赤子之心,张开双臂拥抱AI猛进中奇妙无穷的不确定性;第二,是呼唤不无骄傲的工程师与谦卑低调的哲学家心手相握,继续AI攻坚克难,一道建构愛之智慧孞联网(Amorsophia MindsNetworking),迎接Earthropocene的到来!

 

 

早在1970年新春,马克·佩恩的《微趋势Microtrends》就出版了。佩恩在《Microtrends》中阐述了一种理解我们生活方式的新方式。与人们趋之若鹜的宏大趋势相比,微趋势“是与我们直观印象相反的趋势,这些趋势正在塑造着马上就要出现在我们面前的明天。”当时,佩恩利用一些现有的最佳数据,确定了宗教、休闲、政治和家庭生活领域中70多个看似不起眼的却正在改变我们生活方式的微趋势。因为所有追求“确定性”大趋势(以1982年奈斯比特出版的《Megatrends: Ten New Directions Transforming Our Lives》为代表),都是存量。而真正值得关注的可能是非常微少的人新近“涌现”的孞念,赋有这种孞念的微少部分人,在大多数人视野和注意力之外,却正在凝结成新共识、正在采取的行动方式、正在进入生活处境的“Microtrends(微趋势)”,完全可能成为我们理解这个世界至关重要的臻美新变量!

 

古语云:“风起于青萍之末”。身为大学生,这场在UBC举办的“因应AI猛进的不确定性及三大瓶颈Microtrends国际研讨会”,让我深受启发。虽然是一次小型的闭门活动,但它体现了透过一种新思维、新价值观来“理解我们的生活方式的新方式”——微趋势!

 

工作的未来与人工智能的作用

 

与会嘉宾表达的共识:人工智能特别是人形机器人若能取代大多数标准化、可复制、密集的工作,将从根本上解决资源稀缺的经济问题。这项突破将使全民基本收入(UBI)的梦想更接近现实。

 

更重要的是,当稀缺性不再成为问题时,根深蒂固的资本垄断和权力操纵体系以及它们之间的勾结将变得不再重要。物质特权将变得毫无意义。人们的生活视角将超越物质积累,强调个性、创造力和“小即是美”的哲学。这种精神追求将可望塑造人类社会的新架构。

 

从这个角度来看,我们必须对人类生命固有的适应性——赋有Amorsophia的生命自组织力与外连接平衡力,抱有孞念。我们无需担心人工智能和人形机器人取代传统产业和工作。想想工业革命:它颠覆了无数传统的“饭碗”,但它是否导致了社会的倒退或单调?恰恰相反,人类整体生活质量大幅提升,变得更加充满活力。

 

标准化与创造力:工业革命的教训

 

工业革命带来的标准化、复制化、集约化大大提高了生产效率和物质丰富度。短短300年间,创造的财富超过了此前所有世代人所创造的财富总和。然而,传统工艺和农业却变得脆弱。尽管如此,工业革命仍然依赖少数从事科学、人文、艺术和哲学创造性工作的个人。

那么AI时代呢?人工智能除了取代标准化、可复制、密集的劳动力外,还将接管一些创造性的工作。然而,正如王泽华教授所指出的,真正的创造力是无法被人工智能取代的。即使一些非标准化的手工艺也将具有不可替代性。

 

真正的挑战!

 

因此,问题并不在于人工智能是否取代人类的哪些工作,而是人工智能快速发展的不确定性以及人工智能演进过程中存在的瓶颈,可能导致的盲目性和有害竞争。当今热衷人工智能企业家、工程师、政治家和伦理学家都有同样的担忧。

 

这就是为什么,继互联网(解决特权、垄断和操纵造成的“信息不对称”)和物联网(实现物体间互联互通的自动化)建设之后,人类现在必须提出创建愛之智慧MindsNetworking,来解决“不同主体孞念交互的共生奖抑机制”问题。

 

最后,王泽华教授还从工程的角度和数学的角度,分析回答了与会者关于当AI用光了网络公开信息之后,大概率要挖掘个人正在产生的新信息时,怎么办的问题。

 

短短一个半小时的闭门会议,气氛热烈,孞心满满,与会嘉宾一致认为:“共生是正在进行的未来,AI必定造福人类”。

 

 

(耶米粒自UBC报道,摄影:曹建平)

 

 

 

 

Microtrends, New Variables

—Notes from the “International Symposium on Addressing the Uncertainties and Three Major Bottlenecks of AI’s Rapid Advancement”

 

At the beginning of 2025, under clear blue skies, a small-scale yet impactful symposium titled “Addressing the Uncertainties and Three Major Bottlenecks of AI’s Rapid Advancement” was held in a modest seminar room at the University of British Columbia (UBC).

 

The symposium was chaired by UBC blockchain expert Professor Zehua Wang, with Professor Hong Qian of the Global Symbiosis Society delivering the keynote address, Earthropocene: Amorsophia MindsNetworking. The presentation was based on insights from Professor Qian’s recent book, SYMBIOSISM: The Mind Power to Agree on An Innovative Life Style. Scholars from China and Canada participated in this closed-door symposium.

 

Key Discussions

 

Participants engaged in lively discussions on how to recognize, adapt to, and actively address the uncertainties brought by AI’s rapid development. Topics included the impact of AI on production and lifestyle paradigms established since the Industrial Revolution, its implications for workplaces, and the challenges AI poses to humanity’s longstanding self-centric perspective of seeing itself as the Subject and everything else as the Object.

 

The symposium also explored the “three major bottlenecks” AI faces in fully integrating into social life:

 

  1. The extreme asymmetry between energy consumption and efficiency;
  2. The inherent shortcomings of systems thinking in information sources, channels, and outcomes;
  3. The limitations of current AI methods, which rely on data, algorithms, computational power, and neural networks but fail to achieve the depth of wisdom, love, and consciousness embodied in Amorsophia.

 

A significant focus of the discussion was the rationale and prerequisites for constructing a “MindsNetworking” (孞联网). Following the Internet’s resolution of information asymmetry and the Internet of Things’ (IoT) automation of interconnected objects, MindsNetworking aims to establish an interaction mechanism that rewards or restrains based on intent, eliminating identity-based biases and fostering balanced coexistence between life and AI.

 

Three Imperatives and Two Practical Proposals

 

Professor Qian elaborated on three imperatives and two practical proposals:

 

  1. To move from the symbiotic origins of the Naturaropocene, surpass the symbiotic baseline of the Anthropocene, and embrace the symbiotic soul of the Earthropocene is imperative.
  2. To abandon the self-centric worldview of Subject and Object and adopt the philosophy of Intersubjective Symbiosism is imperative.
  3. To construct the Amorsophia MindsNetworking to balance the AI concerns raised by thinkers like Goodall, Musk, and Harari and to foster ecological and interstellar civilizations is imperative.

 

From these imperatives arise two proposals:

  1. Embrace the wonders and uncertainties of AI’s rapid progress with an open heart;
  2. Encourage engineers and philosophers to join hands, overcoming challenges together to construct the Amorsophia MindsNetworking and usher in the Earthropocene era.

The Power of Microtrends

As early as 1970, Mark Penn’s Microtrends highlighted the significance of small, emerging variables in shaping the future. The symposium echoed this idea, emphasizing that real change often stems not from grand trends but from the “microtrends” where new consensus and innovative actions are forming.

 

The ancient saying goes, “A gale arises from the edge of a tiny reed.” As a university student, I found the UBC International Symposium on Addressing the Uncertainties and Three Major Bottlenecks of AI’s Rapid Development deeply inspiring. Although it was a small, closed-door event, it embodied a new way of understanding our lifestyle through new thinking and new values—Microtrends!

The Future of Work and the Role of Artificial Intelligence

The consensus among the participants was clear: If AI, particularly humanoid robots, can replace most standardized, replicable, and intensive jobs, it will fundamentally solve the economic problem of resource scarcity. This breakthrough would bring the dream of Universal Basic Income (UBI) closer to reality.

More significantly, once scarcity ceases to be an issue, entrenched systems of capital monopoly, power manipulation, and their collusion will lose their relevance. Material privilege will no longer hold meaning. People’s perspectives on life will expand beyond material accumulation, prioritizing individuality, creativity, and the philosophy of “small is beautiful.” This spiritual pursuit is poised to shape the new framework of human society.

From this perspective, we must embrace humanity’s innate adaptability—the self-organizing and outward-balancing power endowed with Amorsophia. There is no need to fear that traditional industries and jobs will be replaced by AI and humanoid robots. Consider the Industrial Revolution: it disrupted countless traditional “rice bowls,” yet did it lead to societal regression or monotony? On the contrary, it dramatically improved overall living standards and brought vibrancy and diversity to human life.

Standardization vs. Creativity: Lessons from the Industrial Revolution

The Industrial Revolution’s advances in standardization, replication, and intensification significantly boosted productivity and material abundance. In just 300 years, it created more wealth than all prior generations combined. However, traditional crafts and agriculture were rendered vulnerable. Despite this, the Industrial Revolution still relied on a minority of individuals engaged in creative work in science, humanities, arts, and philosophy.

What about the AI era? AI will undoubtedly replace standardized, replicable, and intensive labor while also taking over some creative tasks. Yet, as Professor Zehua Wang pointed out, true creativity cannot be replaced by AI. Even certain non-standardized artisan crafts will remain irreplaceable.

The Real Challenge

The real issue is not whether AI will replace certain human jobs, but rather the uncertainties of AI’s rapid development and the bottlenecks in its evolution, which may lead to blind and harmful competition. These concerns are shared by today’s AI entrepreneurs, engineers, politicians, and ethicists.

This is why, following the construction of the Internet (to address “information asymmetry” caused by privilege, monopoly, and manipulation) and the Internet of Things (to automate interconnectivity among objects), humanity must now propose the creation of MindsNetworking. This network aims to address the problem of establishing symbiotic mechanisms of reward and restraint for cross-entity intent interactions.

Final Reflections

Finally, Professor Zehua Wang analyzed and addressed a pressing question from both engineering and mathematical perspectives: What happens when AI exhausts all publicly available information online and begins mining real-time, personally generated data?

In just ninety minutes, this vibrant and idea-rich closed-door symposium concluded with one shared belief: “Symbiosis is the future in progress, and AI will undoubtedly benefit humanity.

(Report by Yemili, a UBC student; Photography by Jianping Cao)

 

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