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重申“终结乌克兰战争的第三条道路”(Reaffirming “The Third Path to Ending the War in Ukraine”)

发布时间:2025/02/14 公司新闻 浏览次数:32

重申“终结乌克兰战争的第三条道路”

Reaffirming “The Third Path to Ending the War in Ukraine”

——写于英国主持的50国防长拉姆施泰因会议援乌会议与美、俄、乌三国总统通话之后

— Written After the U.S.-Led 50-Nation Ramstein Aid Conference for Ukraine and the U.S.-Russia-Ukraine Presidential Calls

 

By Archer Hong Qian

 

Intersubjective Symbiosism Foundation

 

 

2025年2月12日,第47任美国总统川普分别与俄罗斯总统普京、乌克兰总统泽连斯基,就终结俄乌战争通话了,一时间引爆了全球舆论狂潮,嘻笑怒骂之声,覆盖了世界媒体和自媒体。但有一点,几乎所有的议论都忽视了一个基本情况,就是大家只关心三位“当事人”的片言只语望文生义地断定如何如何,而对三位当事人到底谈了什么,在什么语境下谈的,以及事后的表达,并没有弄清楚!

 

我仔细阅读了川普与普京90分钟(其中翻译占了起码30分钟)、川普与泽边斯基30分钟(直接英语对话可省30分钟)通话之后大量资讯,川、京、泽三人各自对通话内容的表述。

 

 

关于与普京通话,川普说:我刚刚与俄罗斯总统普京进行了长时间且极具成效的电话交流,谈的内容不仅仅是俄乌战争,还有中东、能源、人工智能、美元的影响力等。川普通话的重点有三:“希望停止在俄乌战争中持续发生的惨重伤亡”,“立即启动双方团队的谈判”,“谈判地点在沙特阿拉伯”。

 

普京对通话表达略有不同,就是谈到通话内容时,他自己补充了一点“必须消除冲突的根源”。

 

川普与泽连斯基通话后表示:“谈话很有建设性,和普京一样,泽连斯基也寻求和平”“主要议题会在周五的慕尼黑会议上协商,美国代表团将由副总统万斯和国务卿卢比奥率领,希望取得积极成果,是时候停止这场造成大量伤亡和破坏的毫无意义的战争了。”

 

泽连斯基总统的第一反应是:没有人比乌克兰更希望和平。我们正在与美国一起制定下一步行动,以阻止俄罗斯的侵略,确保持久、可靠的和平;乌克兰需要10万名维和部队,以确保乌克兰未来的和平。

 

综合而言,我赞成这样的表述:川普的诉求是,先让造成大量人员死伤基础破坏的俄乌战争停下来,通过谈判解决后面的事,但坐到谈判桌上不等于向普京做出让步,更不等于出卖乌克兰。他在回答记者提问“您会停止向乌克兰提供支援吗”时,明确表示:“不,我们还在提供。如果我们不这样做,普京就会说他赢了。是我们在阻止这件事,只要有必要我僦会坚持下去,因为我们不会让相反的事发生。不过普京总统现在想要和平,这很好!”

 

好了!就转述这么多,我预祝周五的慕尼黑会议取得积极成果,但不想猜测事态如何发展,请允许我在此再次转述我本人作为坐标加拿大的世界NGO公益组织“多元共生基金会”(Intersubjective Symbiosism Foundation)发言人,在2024年初多次表达的《终结乌克兰战争的第三条道路(2024.7.20)》(刊于网络及香港《文化中国》总第118期,2024年第一期):

 

1、俄罗斯军队分两步撤出乌克兰所有占领区(1991年国际公认的边界),第一步,撤出2022年2月24日入侵乌克兰东部四个州,第二步,撤出2014年占领的克里米亚,同时归还所有掳掠的乌克兰儿童,乌克兰军队和以欧洲为主组建的国际组织维和部队,保证俄罗斯军队安全撤出,并维护当地治安;  

 

2、不过,为了乌克兰顺利重建和消解隐忧,乌克兰对俄罗斯人口占95%的克里米亚等五个有问题地区,以其承诺“采取特殊保护措施”,不妨干脆同意在国际组织(如联合国托管理事会、人权理事会)和国际维和部队有效监督下,使之成为五个新的主权国家的选项(因为承诺不可靠,而且承诺很“累”,1994《布达佩斯被忘录》也是承诺),这并非要乌克兰“以土地换和平”,而是保障可持续和平;  

 

3、作为政治平衡,也不排除俄罗斯最西部不接壤的加里宁州,在国际组织(如联合国托管理事会、人权理事会)有效监督下,成为一个新的主权国家——比如名为“柯尼斯堡共和国”(这里诞生了写出《论永久和平》的大哲学家伊曼努尔·康德、大数学家达维德·希尔伯特和作家E·T·A·霍夫曼)——的选项;

 

4、同时,作为交换,国际社会,第一可免除对俄罗斯领导人入侵乌克兰的战争罪的追究,第二尚未罚没的俄罗斯外汇存储,不再扣押——毕竟为世界贡献过罗蒙诺索夫、普希金、托尔斯泰、门捷列夫、柴可夫斯基、安德罗波夫、索尔仁尼琴、叶利钦的俄罗斯,也需要重建,不能真的垮塌了,而且,乌克兰与俄罗斯也需要建立新的交互关系。

 

止战、止盈的“第三条通路”,如果能实施:

 

一是可以永久消除了俄罗斯的顾虑(也算给尚有实力的普京一个必要的面子)和一次性终断俄罗斯觊觎欧洲国家资源的口实和跳板;

 

二是解决了乌克兰国内多元文化(种族)冲突——东仪基督教教区与东正教教区、说乌克兰语居民与说俄罗斯语居民、市场经济较发达的中西部与“苏式老工业基地”地区三大冲突——安心重建家园,乌克兰也可以放心地让乌东四州及克里米亚等地区,成为一个新的犹如瑞士、比利时、芬兰、新加坡、尼德兰、卢森堡,以及波罗的海三国那样“小而美”的国家(都是成功的典范),作为自己的好邻居。

 

三是可望为重构二战后以联合国为基础的国际安全框架提供范例,为人类制订与生态文明和AI时代相匹配的《全球共生公约》,提供现实动力!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reaffirming “The Third Path to Ending the War in Ukraine”

— Written After the U.S.-Led 50-Nation Ramstein Aid Conference for Ukraine and the U.S.-Russia-Ukraine Presidential Calls

By Archer Hong Qian

Intersubjective Symbiosism Foundation


On February 12, 2025, Trump, Putin, and Zelensky’s Talks Spark Global Debate

On February 12, 2025, Donald Trump, the 47th President of the United States, held separate phone calls with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to discuss ending the Russia-Ukraine war. The discussions immediately triggered a media storm, with widespread commentary ranging from praise to outrage.

However, one crucial aspect was largely overlooked: while public discourse focused on selective interpretations of what the three leaders said, few took the time to understand the actual context, substance, and implications of their conversations.

I carefully reviewed the statements from all three leaders after their calls:

  • Trump-Putin call (90 minutes, with approximately 30 minutes for translation):

    • Trump described the call as “long and highly productive,” covering not only the Ukraine war but also the Middle East, energy, artificial intelligence, and the influence of the U.S. dollar.
    • Trump emphasized his goal to “stop the horrific casualties” in Ukraine and “immediately initiate negotiations”, proposing Saudi Arabia as the negotiation venue.
    • Putin’s response differed slightly, adding that the “root causes of the conflict must be addressed.”
  • Trump-Zelensky call (30 minutes, direct in English):

    • Trump called the discussion “constructive” and noted that “like Putin, Zelensky also seeks peace.”
    • He stated that the main issues would be discussed at the upcoming Munich Security Conference on Friday, led by U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
    • Trump concluded: “It is time to stop this senseless war of massive destruction and loss.”
  • Zelensky’s reaction:

    • Zelensky reaffirmed that “no one wants peace more than Ukraine” but stressed the need for a coordinated U.S.-Ukraine strategy to halt Russian aggression and secure lasting peace.
    • He also called for 100,000 international peacekeeping troops to ensure Ukraine’s long-term stability.

Trump’s Position & The Misconceptions

Trump’s primary goal is to halt the massive loss of life and destruction in Ukraine and move the conflict to negotiations. However:

  • Negotiating does not mean making concessions to Putin.
  • It does not mean Trump is betraying Ukraine.
  • When asked whether he would stop military aid to Ukraine, Trump explicitly denied it, saying:
    • “No, we are still providing support. If we stop, Putin will claim victory. We are preventing that from happening. I will continue as long as necessary because we will not let the opposite happen. But the good news is, President Putin now wants peace.”

Reiterating “The Third Path to Ending the Ukraine War”

As the spokesperson for the Intersubjective Symbiosism Foundation (Canada), I would like to restate the proposal I have repeatedly put forward in early 2024, first published in Culture China, Issue 118 (January 2024, Hong Kong) and online as “The Third Path to Ending the Ukraine War” (July 20, 2024).

1. A Two-Stage Withdrawal of Russian Troops from All Occupied Ukrainian Territories (Based on 1991 Borders)

  • First stage: Russia withdraws from the four eastern Ukrainian regions occupied since February 24, 2022.
  • Second stage: Russia withdraws from Crimea (occupied in 2014) and returns all abducted Ukrainian children.
  • To ensure a safe withdrawal, Ukrainian forces and a European-led international peacekeeping force will guarantee Russia’s secure exit and maintain local order.

2. Special Protections for Five Disputed Regions & Their Potential Sovereignty

  • To facilitate Ukraine’s reconstruction and eliminate future conflicts, Ukraine could recognize five disputed regions (including Crimea) where Russian-speaking populations exceed 95%.
  • However, rather than merely promising “special protections,” Ukraine could allow these regions to become new sovereign states under strict international oversight (e.g., United Nations Trusteeship Council, UN Human Rights Council) and with international peacekeeping forces.
  • This is not “trading land for peace” but ensuring sustainable, enforceable stability—since historical agreements, like the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, have proven unreliable.

3. A Political Counterbalance: The Sovereignty of Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

  • As a geopolitical balancing act, Russia’s westernmost, non-contiguous Kaliningrad Oblast could also be considered for potential sovereignty under international oversight.
  • The new state could be called the “Königsberg Republic,” in honor of its historical and cultural heritage, being the birthplace of Immanuel Kant (author of Perpetual Peace), David Hilbert (mathematician), and E.T.A. Hoffmann (writer).

4. A Trade-Off: Dropping Sanctions & War Crime Charges Against Russia

In exchange for implementing this peace framework, the international community could:

  1. Drop war crime charges against Russian leadership for the invasion of Ukraine.
  2. Unfreeze Russia’s remaining foreign currency reserves that have not yet been confiscated.
  • Russia, a nation that has produced Lomonosov, Pushkin, Tolstoy, Mendeleev, Tchaikovsky, Andropov, Solzhenitsyn, and Yeltsin, must be allowed to rebuild.
  • Ukraine and Russia must eventually establish a new mode of coexistence.

If Implemented, This “Third Path” Would Achieve:

1. A Permanent End to Russia’s Security Concerns

  • It eliminates Russia’s pretexts for further European expansion.
  • It offers Putin a necessary diplomatic face-saving exit.

2. Resolving Ukraine’s Internal Cultural & Ethnic Conflicts

  • It addresses three major internal divides within Ukraine:
    • Religious conflict (Greek Catholic vs. Russian Orthodox).
    • Linguistic divide (Ukrainian vs. Russian speakers).
    • Economic disparity (Developed West vs. Soviet-style industrial East).
  • Ukraine could peacefully rebuild and allow eastern regions and Crimea to become small but prosperous states, akin to Switzerland, Belgium, Finland, Singapore, the Netherlands, Luxembourg, and the Baltic states—all successful models.

3. A Blueprint for Reshaping Global Security in the AI Era

  • This approach could serve as a model for restructuring the post-WWII UN-based security system, providing a real-world precedent for a “Global Symbiosis Pact” aligned with ecological civilization and AI-era geopolitics.

Reference Material

This proposal is based on the “Flip the Limits, Awaken Symbiosis” framework, which outlines five strategies for ending human wars:

  • Five Ways to End Human Wars
  • Appendix Reference: “The Third Path to Ending the Ukraine War”
  • Archer Hong Qian, Intersubjective Symbiosism Foundation
    🔗 http://symbiosism.com.cn/9023.html

Conclusion

The end of the Russia-Ukraine war will redefine global order. The Intersubjective Symbiosism model proposes a balanced, enforceable, and sustainable peace plan that prevents further bloodshed, reconstructs Ukraine, and reshapes international relations for a new era.

参考:

以上摘自: 翻转极限,觉醒共生Flip the Limits, Awaken Symbiosis 关于人类战争止战的五种方式
Five Ways to End Human Wars
——附录参考“终结乌克兰战争的第三条道路”
——Appendix Reference: “The Third Path to Ending the Ukraine War” 钱  宏 Archer Hong Qian

http://symbiosism.com.cn/9023.html

俄乌战争终结,改写世界秩序——交互主体共生重塑“国际关系学”(Intersubjective Symbiosism Reshapes “International Relations”) – 全球共生研究院

 

Ending Wars, Rebuilding a New Global Symbiosis Order
终结战争,重建全球共生新秩序计划书
钱宏(Archer Hong Qian)
Intersubjective Symbiosism Foundation(Canada)

 

 

 

终结战争,重建全球共生新秩序计划书

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